A short piece I wrote on dictators, lies, and satellites is out today in (w/ ungated access)👇
foreignaffairs.com/china/how-spot via
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Dan Kurtz-Phelan
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Out today with a piece in looking at the lessons of G7+ sanctions on Russia. In particular, what we should and should not expect them to achieve.
🧵Was the Kremlin's aggression against Ukraine predestined? Just as Putin's paranoia, Russia's failure to seize historic opportunities and develop a visionary, pragmatic foreign policy is among root causes of the tragedy, I argue in . 1/
Russia’s Halfway to Hell Strategy. Why Putin Has Not Yet Launched a Total War in Ukraine - and me in
foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/russia via
Something I wrote for . Pleasure working with their editorial team, especially .
Fiona Hill and I assess where the Kremlin's thinking is a year into the war
In , I write with my friend Adam Szubin, who headed #OFAC, about what Beijing has learned about economic warfare from Moscow's war in Ukraine. We explore how Beijing went from loathing sanctions to copycatting them, while also fearing them.
Russia’s struggles in Ukraine cannot be explained only as endemic military issues. Kremlin interference undercut performance in critical ways.Their mistakes collided with fierce Ukrainian resistance, western intel and weapons.Will they learn? My latest,👇
Have a piece in Foreign Affairs on effects of the war in Ukraine one year on.
Many are worried the war in Ukraine will lead to a surge of nuclear proliferation.
In a piece , , , and I explain why that’s unlikely and argue there may even be opportunities to strengthen nonproliferation.
